August 2025 State of Freight

A Look at the Market Rebalancing and Q4 Expectations

August 2025 State of Freight: Economic Uncertainty and Q4 Expectations

The freight market is currently characterized by soft demand, economic uncertainty, and significant structural challenges across major transportation modes. National truckload volumes have declined 14% to 15% year-over-year, falling even lower than 2019 levels. This softness is occurring despite seasonal catalysts like back-to-school shopping and hurricane season, reflecting broader economic wavering and depressed sentiment among consumers, manufacturers, and homebuilders.

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